Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseJa 66%
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Veraltet16. Dez. 25, 06:45 UTC30. Juni 27, 22:59 UTC
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Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will my friend M accept that he doesn´t annoy me?
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Manifold MarketsMaine lobster landings in 2026
KalshiWill global art market sales hit $65 billion for 2026?
PolymarketWill UT Austin in-state tuition exceed $11,250 in 2026?
ForecastExRegeln
My friend works in tech.
- He’s been working since 2020 and plans to retire next year in SEA because he is sick of work and his boss.
- He has mentioned many times of his desire to retire and that he has the ability to retire in SEA.
- Will he actually retire next year?
- I will resolve YES once if he no longer has his current job(voluntarily or not) before eoy 2026 and does not work for at least 6 months.
- I will update in comments whenever he quits his current job and then it becomes a question of whether he stays out of the job market for 6 months.
Offene Märkte
Society & CultureKALSHIWhat will NYC subway average weekday ridership be in October 2026?
- Above 4.1 million94%
- Above 4.2 million91%
- Above 4.3 million-2.0pt59%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 40.048,3 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 3161,6 €
KALSHIWill the Kennedy Center be demolished in 2026?
- No94%
- Yes-3.0pt6%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 9879,5 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 1262,5 €
KALSHIMaine lobster landings in 2026
- Above 55 million pounds94%
- Above 65 million pounds84%
- Above 70 million pounds66%
+5 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 15.995,2 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 512,8 €
POLYMARKETWill Clavicular wear a Yarmulke in 2026?
- No-2.0pt73%
- Yes+2.0pt27%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 21.831,1 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 324,3 €
KALSHIUS test scores in Math in 2026?
- Significant decrease+19.0pt61.3%
- No significant difference30.2%
- Significant increase-9.9pt8.5%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 51.141,7 €
- 24h-Volumen
KALSHINew River Gorge recreation visits in 2026
- Above 1.7 million96%
- Above 1.8 million92%
- Above 1.9 million+1.0pt90%
+5 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 27.873,8 €
- 24h-Volumen
- Will UCLA out-of-state tuition exceed $55,000 in 2026?
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- Will Glacier National Park set a visitation record in 2026?
- 60 minutes: Joe Rogan joins as a Correspondent this year?
- Who will be in the US News top 20 universities?
- Idaho passes ballot measure legalizing abortion?
- Which colleges will see their ranking drop this year?
- Will Clavicular kiss the Western Wall in 2026?
- Will UCLA out-of-state tuition exceed $53,000 in 2026?
- US test scores in Reading in 2026?
- Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will my friend retire in 2026??
- Manifold Markets bewertet Yes mit 66% (Stand: 20. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will my friend retire in 2026? entschieden?
- Will my friend retire in 2026? soll am 30. Juni 2027 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will my friend retire in 2026? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: My friend works in tech.