Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 80.1%
Prognostiker
14
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 5 Minuten
22. Apr. 26, 06:04 UTC21. Sept. 26, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will Katharina Reiche stop being the german Minister of Energy by the next regular election?
Manifold MarketsHow many times will my friend and I die in Outward?
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Manifold MarketsElon Musk # tweets September 1 - September 8, 2026?
PolymarketElon Musk # tweets September 10 - September 12, 2026?
PolymarketWill Florida receive more visitors in 2026 than in 2025?
KalshiRegeln
My friend and I regularly call but he thinks I will ghost him when my summer camp starts since I will be busy and find other friends there and stop being friends with him forever.
- This market resolves NO if I have at least one voice/video call/in person hangout per week on average with my friend during the period June 20 - September 21, 2026.
- Resolves YES otherwise.
Offene Märkte
Society & CulturePOLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 1 - September 8, 2026?
- 200-219+46.0pt95%
- 220-239-11.9pt5%
- 40-590%
+23 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 1,9 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 659.882,3 €
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 10 - September 12, 2026?
- 40-6444%
- 65-8925%
- <4019%
+7 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 23.823 €
KALSHIWill California recognize Jewish identity as an ethnicity?
- Yes-17.0pt68%
- No32%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 3164,4 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 2633,9 €
KALSHIWill Florida receive more visitors in 2026 than in 2025?
- No82%
- Yes+4.0pt18%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 18.136,2 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 1035 €
KALSHIWill Yellowstone record over 5 million recreation visits in 2026?
- No95%
- Yes-6.0pt5%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 15.363,7 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 952,8 €
KALSHIUS test scores in Math in 2026?
- No significant difference+8.0pt39%
- Significant decrease-6.0pt34%
- Significant increase-31.4pt10%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 49.823 €
- Harry Kane Knighted in 2026
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- US test scores in Reading in 2026?
- Is Earth flat?
- Will UCLA out-of-state tuition exceed $55,000 in 2026?
- Major news story in Sep 2026?
- Which colleges will see their ranking drop this year?
- Idaho passes ballot measure legalizing abortion?
- Who will be in the US News top 20 universities?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will my friend and I stop being friends after I attend summer camp??
- Manifold Markets bewertet No mit 80% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will my friend and I stop being friends after I attend summer camp? entschieden?
- Will my friend and I stop being friends after I attend summer camp? soll am 21. September 2026 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will my friend and I stop being friends after I attend summer camp? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: My friend and I regularly call but he thinks I will ghost him when my summer camp starts since I will be busy and find other friends there and stop being friends with him forever.