Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertWarnung zur DatenqualitätQuelldaten beeinträchtigt
Daten vom 26.10.2026, 05:41 UTC · Richtlinie pm-quality-4
Aktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 96.6%
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31
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 8 Stunden
Veraltet22. Juli 24, 10:55 UTC1. Nov. 70, 22:59 UTC
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Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez ever become the President of the USA?
Manifold MarketsWill Nikki Haley ever become the President of the USA?
Manifold MarketsWill Gavin Newsom ever become the President of the USA?
Manifold MarketsWill Antony Blinken ever become the President of the USA?
Manifold MarketsWill Nick Fuentes become President of the United States before 2045?
KalshiWill Zohran Mamdani become President of the United States before Jan 22, 2045?
KalshiRegeln
This will resolve to YES when Michelle Obama becomes the President of the USA.
- This will resolve to NO when it is no longer technically possible
