Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-Prognose
Nein 98.5%
Prognostiker
10
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 4 Stunden
Veraltet31. März 23, 22:09 UTC31. Dez. 29, 11:00 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Next James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond
KalshiWho will play the next James Bond?
Manifold MarketsWill a sequel to 007 First Light release before 2030? (James Bond game)
Manifold MarketsNext James Bond actor?
PolymarketWho will be the next James Bond / 007? (775Ṁ subsidy)
Manifold MarketsNext James Bond film: Artist performing the James Bond Theme
KalshiRegeln
Resolves YES if Daniel Craig regenerates (or otherwise changes) into Matt Smith.
Offene Märkte
EntertainmentKALSHIOscar Winner: Best Picture
- The Odyssey51%
- Dune: Part Three13%
- The Black Ball11%
+36 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 4,3 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 89.572,8 €
KALSHITop US Netflix Show this week?
- Crew Girl: Season 142.6%
- Death of the Pastor's Wife: Season 1+12.0pt31.1%
- NFL Melbourne Game: 49ers vs Rams12.3%
+9 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 57.071,8 €
KALSHIBig Brother Season 28 · Winner
- Yash Patel+1.0pt24.8%
- Dee Valladares+4.0pt16.5%
- Barrett Pfeiffer13.8%
+14 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 4,1 Mio. €
KALSHIRunner · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 45-1.0pt98%
- Above 50-1.0pt96%
- Above 55-5.0pt83%
+7 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 306.344,3 €
POLYMARKET# of views of next MrBeast video on week 1?
- 80-90M+35.0pt78%
- 70-80M-35.3pt21%
- 90M+-1.3pt1%
+4 weitere Ergebnisse
KALSHINext James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond
- Jack Lowden+4.0pt49%
- Callum Turner+1.0pt25%
- Jack Barton-8.0pt12%
+27 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 1,9 Mio. €
- Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?
- The Uprising · Rotten Tomatoes score
- "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by September 30?
- Oscar Winner: Best Actor
- Grand Theft Auto VI: Release date
- Top Daily Music Video Global on YouTube: Sep 10, 2026
- Primetime · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Next James Bond actor?
- Practical Magic 2 · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Oscar nominees: Best Picture
- How many views will the #1 Show on Netflix have this week?
- Runner-Up Daily Music Video USA on YouTube: Sep 10, 2026
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will Matt Smith be the next James Bond??
- Manifold Markets bewertet No mit 99% (Stand: 10. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will Matt Smith be the next James Bond? entschieden?
- Will Matt Smith be the next James Bond? soll am 31. Dezember 2029 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will Matt Smith be the next James Bond? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Resolves YES if Daniel Craig regenerates (or otherwise changes) into Matt Smith.