Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 95.4%
Prognostiker
32
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 8 Stunden
Veraltet26. Apr. 25, 08:47 UTC31. Dez. 26, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
When will a real money prediction market about OpenAI announcing AGI first stay above 90% for one month?
Manifold Markets💰CoolFold Financial Advice #2: Suggest Investments for Me & Predict their ROI, invest & win real money!
Manifold MarketsHow much will be wagered on US sports betting in 2026?
PolymarketWill the CFTC permit real-money prediction markets on the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Manifold Markets$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
PolymarketElon Musk # tweets September 7 - September 9, 2026?
PolymarketRegeln
Resolution criteria:
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if, by December 31, 2026, Manifold Markets allows users to place bets using real money, where both deposits and withdrawals are conducted in fiat currency.
- The market will resolve to "No" if, by that date, Manifold Markets does not offer such functionality.
Offene Märkte
Business & CorporatePOLYMARKET$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- $10M+1.4pt96%
- $25M+1.0pt94%
- $50M+3.0pt89%
+4 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 482.494,5 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 422.439,4 €
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 7 - September 9, 2026?
- 40-64+18.0pt76.8%
- 65-89-3.5pt22.2%
- 90-114-3.3pt1%
+7 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETLargest Company end of December 2026?
- NVIDIA78.2%
- Apple+0.1pt13.9%
- Alphabet6.9%
+5 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 6 Mio. €
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 8 - September 15, 2026?
- 180-199-1.0pt17.1%
- 200-219-1.0pt16.2%
- 160-179+2.0pt15.2%
+23 weitere Ergebnisse
KALSHIIllinois nuclear electricity generation in 2026
- Above 87.5 TWh97%
- Above 90.0 TWh+1.0pt96%
- Above 92.5 TWh+3.0pt95%
+4 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 113.699,6 €
KALSHIWashington aerospace manufacturing employment average in 2026
- Above 80,000 jobs98%
- Above 81,000 jobs95%
- Above 82,000 jobs+3.0pt92%
+10 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 189.615,2 €
- Boeing commercial airplane deliveries in 2026
- Elon Musk # tweets September 11 - September 18, 2026?
- Elon Musk # of tweets in September 2026?
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Largest Company end of September?
- 3rd Largest Company end of September?
- Predict.fun FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- Will GameStop acquire eBay in 2026?
- First to hit $1B FDV: ANSEM, CASHCAT, AI, or NET?
- OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will manifold reintroduce real money betting by 2026??
- Manifold Markets bewertet No mit 95% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will manifold reintroduce real money betting by 2026? entschieden?
- Will manifold reintroduce real money betting by 2026? soll am 31. Dezember 2026 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will manifold reintroduce real money betting by 2026? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Resolution criteria: