Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will Macron begin a third term as President of France before 2038??

Manifold Markets bewertet No mit 87.1% (Stand: 25. Oktober 2026).

Will Macron begin a third term as President of France before 2038?

Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriert

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Daten vom 25.10.2026, 23:51 UTC · Richtlinie pm-quality-4

Aktuelle Community-Prognose

Nein 87.1%

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Fragetyp

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Quellentyp

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Aktualisiert vor 53 Minuten

Verzogert

4. Juli 25, 02:13 UTC31. Dez. 37, 23:59 UTC

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Resolution criteria

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Emmanuel Macron begins a third term as President of France before January 1, 2040.
The term must be officially recognized and commenced within this timeframe.
Verification will be based on official announcements from the French government or reputable news sources.
As of July 2025, Emmanuel Macron is serving his second consecutive term as President of France, which began in May 2022 and is set to conclude in 2027.
The French Constitution, amended in 2008, limits the president to two consecutive five-year terms.