Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-Prognose
Nein 72.9%
Prognostiker
5
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binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 3 Stunden
Veraltet1. Aug. 26, 16:23 UTC16. Jan. 30, 04:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will Joe Biden live a longer life than Trump?
Manifold MarketsWill Trump or Biden Live longer?
Manifold MarketsWill Clavicular live longer than Zyzz did?
Manifold MarketsWill it be reported that Joe Biden used Ambien before the 2024 presidential debate?
Kalshi2028 Democratic presidential nominee
KalshiLos Angeles Mayor winner?
KalshiRegeln
If Biden’s lifespan ultimately exceeds Trump’s
- (Identical market to: source market)
Offene Märkte
Politics
POLYMARKETClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- No+12.0pt81.2%
- Yes-12.0pt18.8%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 15,1 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 1 Mio. €
POLYMARKETDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez+1.3pt19%
- Jon Ossoff+0.8pt17%
- Gavin Newsom+0.5pt13%
+48 weitere Ergebnisse
KALSHI2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- D-House, D-Senate+3.0pt50%
- D-House, R-Senate-2.0pt34%
- R-House, R-Senate-3.0pt14%
+1 weitere Ergebnisse
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-1.0pt15%
- Gavin Newsom13%
+45 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 188,6 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 675.810,8 €
KALSHILos Angeles Mayor winner?
- Karen Bass-2.0pt63%
- Nithya Raman+3.0pt37%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 27,6 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 642.577,1 €
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Flávio Bolsonaro+1.5pt52.5%
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-2.0pt45.5%
- Renan Santos+0.1pt2%
+16 weitere Ergebnisse
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- Will the Clarity Act become law?
- Next French Presidential Election
- 2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner?
- Which party will win the U.S. Senate?
- Presidential Election Winner 2028
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
- Texas Senate winner?
- Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will Joe Biden live a longer life than Trump??
- Manifold Markets bewertet No mit 73% (Stand: 15. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will Joe Biden live a longer life than Trump? entschieden?
- Will Joe Biden live a longer life than Trump? soll am 16. Januar 2030 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will Joe Biden live a longer life than Trump? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: If Biden’s lifespan ultimately exceeds Trump’s