Manifold MarketsGeschlossenKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertDieser Markt wurde entschieden: No (93.4%)
Entschieden: 01.10.2026, 05:34
Vom Anbieter verifizierte Auflösung
CoinRithm hat anbietergestützte Nachweise für Gewinner und Auflösungszeit dieses Marktes.
Warnung zur DatenqualitätVeraltete Daten
Daten vom 31.08.2026, 21:40 UTC · Richtlinie pm-quality-3
Wahrscheinlichkeitsverlauf
Yes6.6%
No93.4%
Gewonnen
Verloren
Regeln
Resolves YES if Jinbaobao's trailing twelve months (TTM) tin production is reported below 40,000 tonnes in their official production disclosures or industry reports as of August 31, 2026.
- Data sources include Jinbaobao's company reports, Chinese mining authorities, or verified industry publications.
- Given Jinbaobao's recent export ban impacting roughly 12% of global tin supply, this threshold near 40 kt reflects a critical level influencing global tin availability and pricing.
- Production figures must exclude downstream refining or recycling volumes and focus solely on mined tin output attributed to Jinbaobao.
- Jinbaobao's sudden tin export ban, covering 12% of global supply, significantly tightens the market, influencing pricing and availability.
- Source: Article
