Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 98.9%
Prognostiker
8
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 19 Minuten
9. Feb. 23, 06:31 UTC8. Feb. 28, 08:00 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will the first uncrewed Starship to Mars launch within 2 years as Elon Musk says?
Manifold MarketsWithin the next 5 years, there will be meaningful number of people (>10,000) who treat an LLM as a religious authority figure.
Manifold MarketsWill AI research be automated within the next 2 years?
Manifold MarketsIf Robert F Kennedy Jr serves under Trump, will he get fired or forced to resign within 2 years?
Manifold MarketsDuolingo language rankings · #1 in 2026?
KalshiParis curfew effectively lifted by which date?
PolymarketRegeln
This market resolves YES if I win any lottery within the next 5 years.
- Otherwise it resolves NO.
- I have no particular plans to play in a lottery, but you never know!
- It must be a somewhat official lottery, not a casual raffle among friends or something created just to manipulate this market.