Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseJa 55.9%
Prognostiker
28
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 1 Stunde
Verzogert8. Dez. 25, 10:33 UTC8. Dez. 33, 10:30 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will an active Manifold user be indicted for murder before the end of 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill an active Manifold user be indicted for selling military secrets to another country before the end of 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill I still be active on Manifold in 1 year?
Manifold MarketsMost profitable Manifold user at end of 2026
Manifold MarketsParis curfew effectively lifted by which date?
PolymarketWhat will NYC subway average weekday ridership be in October 2026?
KalshiRegeln
Resolves YES if I personally resolve this market within 72 hours of its scheduled close date(08.12.2033), indicating that I was still an active Manifold user at the time.
- Resolves NO if:
- I do not resolve the market within 72 hours after close, or
- A moderator or anyone else ends up resolving it on my behalf (which would imply I was inactive).
- I will only bet YES on this market.