Warnung zur DatenqualitätQuelldaten beeinträchtigt
Daten vom 26.10.2026, 09:52 UTC · Richtlinie pm-quality-4
Aktuelle Community-Prognose
Nein 95%
Prognostiker
13
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 6 Stunden
Veraltet21. Apr. 26, 00:43 UTC31. Dez. 26, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will a publicly available LLM/Agent beat a 2000 rated Elo chess player online rapid chess by March 2027?
Manifold MarketsChess.com Player of the Year Winner
KalshiChess.com Woman Player of the Year Winner
KalshiWill someone buy up the domain WELOVEGWERN.COM by EOY2026?
Manifold MarketsWill someone buy up the domain WELOVERAZIBKHAN.COM by EOY2026?
Manifold MarketsWill an LLM beat a Super GM Bot on chess.com by 2028?
Manifold MarketsRegeln
Resolution Criteria
- Resolves YES if I surpass 2000 elo in either rapid or blitz once in the year 2026, otherwise resolves NO
- Rapid Elo (I mainly play rapid) at the time of making this market: 1402
- My account: https://www.chess.com/member/TrashPanda20082
- I'm planning on playing/practicing(puzzles, studying openings, endgames, watching chess videos, etc.) almost daily and am currently attending a chess club weekly.
- I'll update this description if/when that changes.
