Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseThe Deal Succeeds & I Get Paid 36.9%Führend unter 3 Optionen
Prognostiker
3
Fragetyp
multiple choice
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
7d-Änderung
+3.5 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 8 Stunden
Veraltet2. Sept. 26, 02:44 UTC1. Jan. 27, 03:30 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
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KalshiRegeln
A potential client reached out to me recently.
- He is about five years younger than me and seems to respect me and look up to me professionally.
- We spoke for about an hour on the phone and have continued to stay in contact, so there is already a positive relationship and a degree of trust between us.
- Based on what I know about him and his needs, I believe he could be an excellent fit for another studio that is run by a good friend of mine.
- My friend is fairly receptive to the possibility of the referral, but I think the situation should be handled gradually and allowed to develop naturally rather than being pushed too quickly.
- There is also an additional connection that makes the referral more workable: another friend of mine has done contracting work with this studio many times before, so there is an established relationship and some familiarity on the studio's side.
Offene Märkte
Business & Corporate
POLYMARKET$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- $10M96%
- $25M95%
- $50M85%
+4 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 180.117,2 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 180.117,2 €
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 7 - September 9, 2026?
- 40-64+8.0pt57.6%
- 65-89+13.0pt34.3%
- 90-114+0.5pt4%
+7 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETLargest Company end of September?
- NVIDIA+0.5pt97%
- Apple-0.3pt2%
- Alphabet+0.1pt1%
+6 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 8 - September 15, 2026?
- 180-19918.8%
- 200-219-1.0pt17.8%
- 160-17913.9%
+23 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
KALSHIBoeing commercial airplane deliveries in 2026
- Above 56095%
- Above 580-1.0pt90%
- Above 60086%
+5 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 182.086,1 €
- 24h-Volumen
KALSHICalifornia FAIR Plan policies in force on September 30, 2026
- Above 680,000+4.0pt98%
- Above 690,00094%
- Above 710,000-1.0pt28%
+4 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 60.431,6 €
- Elon Musk # of tweets in September 2026?
- Largest Company end of December 2026?
- Variational FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- Taco Bell same-store sales growth in Q3
- First to hit $1B FDV: ANSEM, CASHCAT, AI, or NET?
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- Ford total vehicles US sales in Q3
- Ford US vehicle sales volume in 2026
- Elon Musk # tweets September 11 - September 18, 2026?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will I get paid from a side gig as an independent contractor.?
- Manifold Markets bewertet The Deal Succeeds & I Get Paid mit 37% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will I get paid from a side gig as an independent contractor. entschieden?
- Will I get paid from a side gig as an independent contractor. soll am 1. Januar 2027 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will I get paid from a side gig as an independent contractor. abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: A potential client reached out to me recently.