Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 87.1%
Prognostiker
4
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 1 Stunde
Verzogert6. Aug. 26, 00:45 UTC31. Dez. 26, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
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KalshiRegeln
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to YES if Alphabet Inc. (or Google) announces a formal, conventional corporate acquisition of Mechanize, Inc. on or before December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM PT.
- This requires Google to purchase a controlling equity stake (greater than 50%) or 100% of the assets/corporate equity of Mechanize, Inc. This market will resolve to NO if:
- Google and Mechanize execute a "talent-and-licensing" deal, "reverse acqui-hire," or non-exclusive technology licensing agreement (similar to Google's previous arrangements with Character.AI and Windsurf) where Mechanize continues to exist as an independent corporate entity, even if Google hires a portion of its workforce and pays licensing fees.
- Mechanize is fully acquired by another corporate entity.