Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 98.1%
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Aktualisiert vor 7 Stunden
Veraltet8. Juni 25, 01:32 UTC11. Nov. 26, 23:59 UTC
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Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will Elon Musk successfully primary any incumbent Democrats in the next election?
Manifold MarketsElon Musk # tweets September 1 - September 8, 2026?
PolymarketElon Musk # tweets September 4 - September 11, 2026?
PolymarketElon Musk # tweets September 7 - September 9, 2026?
PolymarketElon Musk net worth on December 31, 2026
KalshiWill Elon Musk make 2 or more Twitter(X) posts "today" between 9am to 9pm CST
Manifold MarketsRegeln
Primary defeats, general election defeats, forced retirements etc count.
- Elon Musk must donate a major amount or launch a large campaign to defeat these candidates.
- A lone statement or tweet does not suffice
- I will not trade in this market.
Offene Märkte
PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
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+49 weitere Ergebnisse
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- 24h-Volumen
- 721.045,7 €
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- J.D. Vance50%
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+39 weitere Ergebnisse
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+16 weitere Ergebnisse
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff16.5%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez15.5%
- Gavin Newsom13.6%
+45 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 183,4 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 411.228,9 €
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- United Russia (ER)+4.0pt73%
- New People (NL)-2.5pt23%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-0.5pt3%
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen-1.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+1.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 weitere Ergebnisse
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Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will Elon Musk successfully defeat at least 5 Republicans in 2026??
- Manifold Markets bewertet No mit 98% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will Elon Musk successfully defeat at least 5 Republicans in 2026? entschieden?
- Will Elon Musk successfully defeat at least 5 Republicans in 2026? soll am 11. November 2026 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will Elon Musk successfully defeat at least 5 Republicans in 2026? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Primary defeats, general election defeats, forced retirements etc count.