Manifold MarketsGeschlossenKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertDieser Markt wurde entschieden: No (99%)
Entschieden: 19.08.2026, 15:00
Vom Anbieter verifizierte Auflösung
CoinRithm hat anbietergestützte Nachweise für Gewinner und Auflösungszeit dieses Marktes.
Aktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 99%
Prognostiker
8
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert gestern
Veraltet10. Aug. 26, 8:1119. Aug. 26, 15:00
Wahrscheinlichkeitsverlauf
Yes1%
No99%
99%
1%
Regeln
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to YES if Elon Musk's official X account (@elonmusk) reaches 243,000,000 (243 million) followers or more at any point before August 20, 2026, at 11:59 PM UTC.
- Otherwise, this market resolves to NO.
- Primary Source: Elon Musk's official X profile: x.com/elonmusk.
- Detailed Count Verification: If the UI on X displays a rounded number (e.g., "243M"), third-party analytics trackers such as Social Blade will be used to verify if the exact follower count has crossed the 243,000,000 threshold.
- Edge Cases: If he changes his handle, the market will track the new handle of his main personal account.
