Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseJa 50%
Prognostiker
1
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 5 Stunden
Veraltet2. Sept. 26, 11:00 UTC5. Nov. 30, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will Elizabeth Warren ever be elected President?
Manifold MarketsIf elected, will Graham Platner vote more like John Fetterman or Elizabeth Warren?
Manifold MarketsWho will win the 2026 United States Senate election in Iowa?
Manifold MarketsWill the United States recognize Reza Pahlavi as the leader of Iran in 2026?
KalshiWill the Democratic Party win a majority in the United States House of Representatives in the 2026 general election?
ForecastExWill Xi Jinping visit the United States?
KalshiRegeln
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to YES if Senator Elizabeth Warren officially seeks reelection to the United States Senate from Massachusetts for the term beginning in January 2031 (the 2030 election cycle).
- "Seeking reelection" is defined as meeting at least one of the following conditions:
- She makes a formal, public announcement declaring her candidacy for reelection in the 2030 cycle.
- She officially files nomination papers with the Massachusetts Secretary of the Commonwealth to qualify for the 2030 Senate ballot (primary or general) and does not withdraw prior to the finalization of the ballot.
- The market will resolve to NO if:
Offene Märkte
Politics
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
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- Édouard Philippe28.6%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon12.2%
+38 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 114,5 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 653.687,9 €
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%
- Gavin Newsom13%
+45 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 186 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 485.153,4 €
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Flávio Bolsonaro-4.0pt49.5%
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva+6.0pt48.5%
- Renan Santos-0.7pt2%
+16 weitere Ergebnisse
KALSHIWhat will Trump say during his bilateral with the Taoiseach of Ireland?
- Irish Open+27.0pt99%
- Iran (3+ times)+47.0pt99%
- Oil / Gas / Gasoline+31.0pt99%
+24 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31+3.3pt67%
- October 31+7.5pt44%
- September 30+3.5pt24%
+17 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance+0.7pt51%
- Marco Rubio+0.1pt18%
- Tucker Carlson4%
+39 weitere Ergebnisse
- Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- Presidential Election Winner 2028
- Next Prime Minister of Sweden
- Brazil Presidential election winner?
- Iowa Senate winner?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- 2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Which party will win the House in 2026?
- Texas Senate winner?
- Putin out as President of Russia by which date?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will Elizabeth Warren seek reelection to the United States Senate??
- Manifold Markets bewertet Yes mit 50% (Stand: 12. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will Elizabeth Warren seek reelection to the United States Senate? entschieden?
- Will Elizabeth Warren seek reelection to the United States Senate? soll am 5. November 2030 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will Elizabeth Warren seek reelection to the United States Senate? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Resolution criteria