Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseJa 91.2%
Prognostiker
11
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 17 Stunden
Veraltet13. Aug. 26, 23:51 UTC28. Jan. 27, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will Donald Trump's speech at the UN General Assembly in September 2026 last longer than 45 minutes?
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Manifold MarketsRegeln
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to YES if Donald Trump lives to have a longer lifespan than John Quincy Adams.
- Otherwise, it will resolve to NO.
- John Quincy Adams' Lifespan: 29,446 days (born July 11, 1767; died February 23, 1848), which is exactly 80 years and 227 days.
- Donald Trump's Lifespan: Born on June 14, 1946, Trump will have lived 29,447 days—officially surpassing Adams—if he is alive on January 27, 2027.
- Resolution Rule: If Donald Trump is confirmed alive at any point on January 27, 2027 (in his local time zone), this market resolves to YES.
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Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will Donald Trump have a longer lifespan than John Quincy Adams??
- Manifold Markets bewertet Yes mit 91% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will Donald Trump have a longer lifespan than John Quincy Adams? entschieden?
- Will Donald Trump have a longer lifespan than John Quincy Adams? soll am 28. Januar 2027 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will Donald Trump have a longer lifespan than John Quincy Adams? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Resolution criteria