Aktuelle Community-Prognose
Nein 80%
Prognostiker
6
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 11 Stunden
Veraltet16. Juli 25, 14:14 UTC1. Feb. 27, 00:00 UTC
Trends
Regeln
As part of LessWrong's Annual Review, the community nominates, writes reviews, and votes on the most valuable posts.
- Posts are reviewable once they have been up for at least 12 months, and the 2025 Review resolves in February 2027.
- This market will resolve to 100% if the post Do confident short timelines make sense? is one of the top fifty posts of the 2025 Review, and 0% otherwise.
- The market was initialized to 14%.
