Will Chinese export restrictions cause global Nd, Dy, Sm magnet prices to exceed a 20% rise by September 15, 2026?
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17. Feb. 26, 09:01 UTC15. Sept. 26, 09:01 UTC
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Resolves YES if the average global prices of neodymium, dysprosium, and samarium magnets increase by more than 20% from their baseline prices as of December 1, 2025, by September 15, 2026.
- The baseline and subsequent prices will be verified using data from authoritative sources such as the US Geological Survey (USGS) and industry reports from Roskill and Adamas Intelligence.
- The new Chinese export restrictions, effective December 1, 2025, are expected to significantly impact global supply chains, potentially leading to price increases due to limited availability and increased geopolitical tensions.
- This threshold is critical as it reflects the anticipated market response to these restrictions, which could disrupt supply and elevate prices significantly.
- Source: Article
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Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will Chinese export restrictions cause global Nd, Dy, Sm magnet prices to exceed a 20% rise by September 15, 2026??
- Manifold Markets bewertet Yes mit 88% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will Chinese export restrictions cause global Nd, Dy, Sm magnet prices to exceed a 20% rise by September 15, 2026? entschieden?
- Will Chinese export restrictions cause global Nd, Dy, Sm magnet prices to exceed a 20% rise by September 15, 2026? soll am 15. September 2026 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will Chinese export restrictions cause global Nd, Dy, Sm magnet prices to exceed a 20% rise by September 15, 2026? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Resolves YES if the average global prices of neodymium, dysprosium, and samarium magnets increase by more than 20% from their baseline prices as of December 1, 2025, by September 15, 2026.