Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseJa 87%
Prognostiker
2
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 1 Stunde
Verzogert28. Sept. 26, 19:54 UTC31. Dez. 26, 00:00 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will China restrict exports of selenium on December 31, 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill China restrict exports of dysprosium or terbium on December 31, 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill China restrict exports of tellurium on December 31, 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill China restrict exports of antimony on December 31, 2026?
Manifold MarketsTaipei Mayor Election Winner
PolymarketWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
PolymarketRegeln
Resolves YES if, as of December 31, 2026 (23:59 China Standard Time), China requires special export licenses for samarium.
- Resolves NO otherwise.
- Resolved from official MOFCOM and General Administration of Customs announcements, supported by major news and trade-press reporting.
