Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseJa 56.9%
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Fragetyp
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 12 Stunden
Veraltet8. Apr. 26, 14:19 UTC31. Dez. 26, 05:00 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will China October 2026 Sm2O3 export volume exceed 50 tonnes?
Manifold MarketsWill China October 2026 Sm2O3 export volume exceed 20 tonnes?
Manifold MarketsWill China January 2027 Sm2O3 export volume exceed 20 tonnes?
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PolymarketXi Jinping out before 2027?
PolymarketHighest temperature in Beijing on September 9?
PolymarketRegeln
This market resolves YES if China October 2026 Sm2O3 export volume exceeds 80 tonnes.
- What is being measured: China monthly Sm2O3 export volume (GACC data) for the month ending October 2026, settled 2 months later to allow for GACC reporting lag.
- YES if: China Sm2O3 monthly export volume >= 80 tonnes for October 2026 NO if: Export volume below 80 tonnes
- Resolution sources (priority order):
- GACC (General Administration of Customs, China) monthly trade data — HS 2846.90
- Asian Metal — China rare earth export monthly tracker (asianmetal.com)
Offene Märkte
ChinaPOLYMARKETWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
- No-0.1pt96%
- Yes+0.1pt4%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 35,3 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 100.050,2 €
POLYMARKETXi Jinping out before 2027?
- No+0.2pt96%
- Yes-0.2pt4%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 11,3 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 38.741,3 €
POLYMARKETHighest temperature in Beijing on September 9?
- 26°C+18.0pt56.1%
- 27°C-3.0pt19.6%
- 25°C-3.5pt15.9%
+8 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETChina x Philippines military clash before 2027?
- No-0.5pt72.3%
- Yes+0.5pt27.7%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 356.323,2 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 13.462,8 €
POLYMARKETWill Xi Jinping visit US by which date?
- October 31+1.6pt98%
- December 31+1.6pt97%
- September 3095%
+3 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETWill China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?
- No+1.0pt89.1%
- Yes-1.0pt10.9%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 2,7 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 11.045,3 €
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Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will China October 2026 Sm2O3 export volume exceed 80 tonnes??
- Manifold Markets bewertet Yes mit 57% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will China October 2026 Sm2O3 export volume exceed 80 tonnes? entschieden?
- Will China October 2026 Sm2O3 export volume exceed 80 tonnes? soll am 31. Dezember 2026 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will China October 2026 Sm2O3 export volume exceed 80 tonnes? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: This market resolves YES if China October 2026 Sm2O3 export volume exceeds 80 tonnes.