Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseJa 55.8%
Prognostiker
2
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 18 Stunden
Veraltet8. Apr. 26, 14:20 UTC30. Juni 27, 04:00 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will China April 2027 Sm2O3 export volume exceed 50 tonnes?
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PolymarketXi Jinping out before 2027?
PolymarketChina x Philippines military clash before 2027?
PolymarketRegeln
This market resolves YES if China April 2027 Sm2O3 export volume exceeds 20 tonnes.
- What is being measured: China monthly Sm2O3 export volume (GACC data) for the month ending April 2027, settled 2 months later to allow for GACC reporting lag.
- YES if: China Sm2O3 monthly export volume >= 20 tonnes for April 2027 NO if: Export volume below 20 tonnes
- Resolution sources (priority order):
- GACC (General Administration of Customs, China) monthly trade data — HS 2846.90
- Asian Metal — China rare earth export monthly tracker (asianmetal.com)
Offene Märkte
ChinaPOLYMARKETWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
- No-0.2pt96%
- Yes+0.2pt4%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 35,3 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 94.726,4 €
POLYMARKETXi Jinping out before 2027?
- No+0.2pt96%
- Yes-0.2pt4%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 11,3 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 35.228,1 €
POLYMARKETHighest temperature in Beijing on September 9?
- 26°C+2.5pt51.9%
- 27°C+2.5pt23.1%
- 25°C-2.0pt17.3%
+8 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETChina x Philippines military clash before 2027?
- No-0.5pt72.3%
- Yes+0.5pt27.7%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 356.247,9 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 13.345,5 €
POLYMARKETWill China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?
- No+1.0pt89.1%
- Yes-1.0pt10.9%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 2,7 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 11.908,2 €
POLYMARKETBest Chinese AI Company end of September?
- Alibaba+4.5pt71.3%
- Moonshot-0.8pt26.7%
- Z.ai-0.8pt1%
+8 weitere Ergebnisse
- Will Xi Jinping visit US by which date?
- Top Chinese AI Company week of September 14th
- Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?
- How many tropical cyclones will make landfall in China during 2026?
- Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?
- Will Xi Jinping visit the United States?
- Second-Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
- Highest temperature in Beijing on September 10?
- Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?
- China x Japan military clash before 2027?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will China April 2027 Sm2O3 export volume exceed 20 tonnes??
- Manifold Markets bewertet Yes mit 56% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will China April 2027 Sm2O3 export volume exceed 20 tonnes? entschieden?
- Will China April 2027 Sm2O3 export volume exceed 20 tonnes? soll am 30. Juni 2027 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will China April 2027 Sm2O3 export volume exceed 20 tonnes? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: This market resolves YES if China April 2027 Sm2O3 export volume exceeds 20 tonnes.