Will California Proposition 1 ($11.25B housing bond) be approved in the November 3, 2026 election?
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Manifold MarketsCalifornia Affordable Housing Bond Proposition
PolymarketCalifornia Proposition 40 election margin of victory? (No)
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This market resolves YES if California Proposition 1 (Authorizes Bonds for Housing Affordability Programs.
- Legislative Statute.) is approved by voters at the November 3, 2026 general election under its official approval rule:
- Simple majority of votes cast on the measure (Cal.
- II §10(a); art.
- XVIII §4 for amendments).
- If conflicting measures both pass, the one with more yes votes prevails (art.