Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 85.1%
Prognostiker
17
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 14 Stunden
Veraltet29. Okt. 25, 19:55 UTC31. Dez. 27, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will the US or UK nationalize any frontier AI labs by 2035?
Manifold MarketsWill HOC beat the big AI labs to AGI?
Manifold MarketsWhat will be the top-3 AI labs in 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill McCormick merge with Unilever Foods by which date?
PolymarketWhen will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
KalshiWill Tesla merge with SpaceX by December 31, 2026?
ForecastExRegeln
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves YES if any two of the following AI companies merge by December 31, 2027:
- Google AI (DeepMind)
- Meta AI (Superintelligence Labs)
- A merger is defined as a transaction where one company acquires another, resulting in a single combined entity under unified ownership and control.
- Partnerships, joint ventures, minority stake acquisitions, or talent acquisitions alone do not necessarily count as mergers, however something that clearly constitutes a merger in all but name would count.
Offene Märkte
Corporate ActionsPOLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,+4.0pt90%
- December 15,86%
- November 30,-1.0pt84%
+7 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 2,3 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 69.207 €
KALSHIBoeing commercial airplane deliveries in 2026
- Above 56095%
- Above 580-1.0pt90%
- Above 60086%
+5 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 185.737,2 €
- 24h-Volumen
POLYMARKETLargest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Anthropic+0.4pt58.8%
- SpaceX-3.5pt39.2%
- OpenAI+0.1pt2.1%
+9 weitere Ergebnisse
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Apr 1, 2027+5.0pt97%
- Before Jan 1, 2027+5.0pt96%
- Before Mar 1, 2027-1.0pt94%
+9 weitere Ergebnisse
KALSHIWill GameStop acquire eBay in 2026?
- No92%
- Yes8%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 2,7 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 17.811,5 €
POLYMARKETOpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- 1.5T++12.1pt78.2%
- 1.25T–1.5T-3.0pt8.9%
- 1T–1.25T-1.4pt5.9%
+4 weitere Ergebnisse
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
- When will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Which companies will be acquired before 2027?
- Will GameStop acquire eBay?
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap (Middle Brackets)
- In which month will Anthropic IPO?
- Will California authorize an alternative wage or other qualifying relief from goat-herder wage and overtime obligations before Oct 1, 2026?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will any two top AI labs merge by EOY 2027??
- Manifold Markets bewertet No mit 85% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will any two top AI labs merge by EOY 2027? entschieden?
- Will any two top AI labs merge by EOY 2027? soll am 31. Dezember 2027 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will any two top AI labs merge by EOY 2027? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Resolution criteria