Will any of OpenAI, Anthropic, or Databricks go public with a market cap over $200B by August 15, 2026?
Corporate ActionsKIOne-OffBusiness & CorporateManifold MarketsGeschlossenKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertDieser Markt wurde entschieden: No (99%)
Entschieden: 15.08.2026, 21:40
Vom Anbieter verifizierte Auflösung
CoinRithm hat anbietergestützte Nachweise für Gewinner und Auflösungszeit dieses Marktes.
Aktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 99%
Prognostiker
23
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 4 Tagen
Veraltet12. Jan. 26, 0:5215. Aug. 26, 21:40
Wahrscheinlichkeitsverlauf
Yes1%
No99%
99%
1%
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Prop resolves Yes if, by August 15, 2026, any of OpenAI, Anthropic, or Databricks have an IPO or direct listing with closing market cap over $200 billion.
- This is one of 25 props in the 11th annual Narcissist Forecasting Contest, as described here:
- https://braff.co/advice/f/announcing-the-2026-narcissist-forecasting-contest
- The prop and any ambiguities will be resolved by a panel of human judges, as described in the fine print of the entry form:
- https://forms.gle/nDDxdxyYSNheY9FV7
- This means that the prop may resolve differently from how other, similar-looking Manifold props resolve.
