Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-Prognose
Ja 78.8%
Prognostiker
58
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
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Prognose
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Aktualisiert vor 4 Stunden
Veraltet22. Dez. 22, 01:22 UTC31. Dez. 29, 23:59 UTC
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Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will Devansh have a *liquid* net worth of at least $1M on January 1, 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill Elon Musk's net worth fall below $150 billion before 2030?
Manifold Marketswil a person have a net worth of 1 trillion in 2030
Manifold MarketsElon Musk Net Worth on September 30?
PolymarketElon Musk net worth on December 31, 2026
KalshiMichael Saylor net worth on Dec 31, 2026
KalshiRegeln
By "liquid" I mean "can reasonably direct 100M of their own capital to whatever they want." / "not fake VC valuations."
- EDIT: This includes donations/money spent in a personal capacity).
- See comments.
Offene Märkte
Business & CorporatePOLYMARKET$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- $10M96%
- $25M95%
- $50M85%
+4 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 180.117,2 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 180.117,2 €
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 7 - September 9, 2026?
- 40-64+8.0pt57.6%
- 65-89+13.0pt34.3%
- 90-114+0.5pt4%
+7 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETLargest Company end of September?
- NVIDIA+0.5pt97%
- Apple-0.3pt2%
- Alphabet+0.1pt1%
+6 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 8 - September 15, 2026?
- 180-19918.8%
- 200-219-1.0pt17.8%
- 160-17913.9%
+23 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
KALSHIBoeing commercial airplane deliveries in 2026
- Above 56095%
- Above 580-1.0pt90%
- Above 60086%
+5 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 182.086,1 €
- 24h-Volumen
KALSHICalifornia FAIR Plan policies in force on September 30, 2026
- Above 680,000+4.0pt98%
- Above 690,00094%
- Above 710,000-1.0pt28%
+4 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 60.431,6 €
- Elon Musk # of tweets in September 2026?
- Largest Company end of December 2026?
- Variational FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- Taco Bell same-store sales growth in Q3
- First to hit $1B FDV: ANSEM, CASHCAT, AI, or NET?
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- Ford total vehicles US sales in Q3
- Ford US vehicle sales volume in 2026
- Elon Musk # tweets September 11 - September 18, 2026?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will any Atlas Fellow have a liquid net worth >100M by 2030??
- Manifold Markets bewertet Yes mit 79% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will any Atlas Fellow have a liquid net worth >100M by 2030? entschieden?
- Will any Atlas Fellow have a liquid net worth >100M by 2030? soll am 31. Dezember 2029 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will any Atlas Fellow have a liquid net worth >100M by 2030? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: By "liquid" I mean "can reasonably direct 100M of their own capital to whatever they want." / "not fake VC valuations."