Aktuelle Community-Prognose
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Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 1 Stunde
Verzogert6. Feb. 23, 19:12 UTC31. Dez. 40, 23:59 UTC
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Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Is 1. g4 a losing move for white?
Manifold MarketsWhat is the outcome of a traditional game of chess with optimal play?
Manifold MarketsDoes white win stalemate-wins chess with optimal play?
Manifold MarketsWhat is the outcome of a traditional game of chess, with optimal play?
Manifold MarketsPrime Minister of Israel after the 2026 election?
KalshiNext Prime Minister of Spain?
PolymarketRegeln
This market resolves YES if, by 2040, there is a particular first move for white in a standard game of chess which we know to be optimal.
- That is, we must have a proof that the outcome of the game with perfect play after that move is the same (Win, lose, or draw) for white as before the move.
- Feb 6, 1:13pm: Will an optimal first move for white be known by 2040? → Will an optimal first move for white in chess be known by 2040?
