Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 86.6%
Prognostiker
9
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 12 Minuten
21. Sept. 26, 23:54 UTC31. Dez. 26, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will at least one major hurricane make landfall in the US*?
Manifold MarketsWhere will a hurricane make landfall in the US during the 2026 hurricane season?
PolymarketWill any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?
PolymarketWill any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?
PolymarketWill 2 or more hurricanes make landfall in the US in 2026?
PolymarketWill a Category 3 hurricane make landfall in Tampa before 2027?
KalshiRegeln
Only Pacific (including all of Hawaï but excluding US territories).
- Only storms with hurricane force winds at time of landfall according to NHC advisories.
- Only during official season (June 1 - November 30).
- Update 2026-09-22 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): For the purpose of resolving this market, Hawaii is defined with Ni'ihau as its westernmost boundary (excluding the Northwestern Hawaiian Islands).