Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will a California State entity create a market on Manifold by end of 2027??

Manifold Markets bewertet No mit 92% (Stand: 27. Oktober 2026).

Will a California State entity create a market on Manifold by end of 2027?

Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriert

Aktuelle Community-Prognose

Nein 92%

Prognostiker

Fragetyp

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Methodik

Play-money forecasting platform

Quellentyp

Prognose

Marktdaten

Aktualisiert vor 3 Stunden

Veraltet

31. Jan. 23, 06:42 UTC1. Jan. 28, 07:59 UTC

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The account cannot be owned by a person who works for the state of California - the government entity itself must own it.

This is one of a series of markets regarding whether select individuals or organizations will become Manifold users and create at least one market by the end of 2027 (~5 years).
The time period is intentionally long, as these markets measure both (i) the propensity of the given person/organization to join Manifold, and (ii) Manifold's anticipated adoption by the public over time.
To resolve positively, I must be reasonably confident that the Manifold account really is the entity they purport to be.