Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 66%
Prognostiker
114
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 8 Minuten
14. Jan. 26, 19:29 UTC28. Feb. 27, 09:00 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
November 2026 1st, 2nd, or 3rd hottest on record?
PolymarketWill 2026 be the hottest year on record?
Manifold MarketsOctober 2026 1st, 2nd, or 3rd hottest on record?
PolymarketWill 2027 be the hottest year on record
Manifold MarketsLargest IPO by market cap in 2026?
PolymarketWhere will it rain this weekend (Oct 31 - Nov 1)?
KalshiRegeln
Average global land & ocean surface temperature, measured by NOAA
- [image]Update 2026-05-18 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): If NOAA ranks 2026 as a tie for hottest year on record, the market will resolve 50/50.