Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseJ. D. Vance 76.7%Führend unter 41 Optionen
Prognostiker
126
Fragetyp
multiple choice
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
7d-Änderung
0.0 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 12 Stunden
Veraltet25. März 24, 14:30 UTC8. Aug. 28, 13:30 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Who will win at least one state in the 2028 Democratic Party presidential primaries?
Manifold MarketsHow old will the Republican Party's Presidential Nominee for the 2028 US Presidental Election be?
Manifold MarketsWho will be in the first 2028 Republican Party presidential debate?
Manifold MarketsLisa Murkowski leaves the Republican Party in 2026?
PolymarketWill the Republican Party win a majority in the United States House of Representatives in the 2026 general election?
ForecastExWill the Republican Party win a US Senate Majority in the 2026 general election?
ForecastExRegeln
An answer resolves YES if that person wins the most delegates in at least one state during the 2028 Republican Party presidential primaries.
- Otherwise the answer will resolve NO once all contests are over.
- The source of the official delegate count will be the Republican National Committee (RNC), and any disputes about the delegate count will be resolved based on the RNC's official statements.
- Nominating contests in places which are not states will not count for the purposes of this market (e.g. Washington D.C., American Samoa, etc.).
- If there is a caucus in a state instead of a primary, or if there is more than one nominating contest (e.g. if there is a primary and a caucus) then nothing changes - the important factor is who wins the most delegates in that state.
Offene Märkte
PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.6pt24%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 605,6 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 691.801,4 €
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.3pt1%
+16 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.0pt73.3%
- New People (NL)-2.7pt22.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-0.9pt3%
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.2pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 603,1 Mio. €
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-1.0pt16.2%
- Jon Ossoff-2.0pt16.2%
- Gavin Newsom14.1%
+45 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 183,6 Mio. €
KALSHINew Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Chris Pappas+1.3pt100%
- Karishma Manzur-1.8pt0%
- Jared Sullivan-0.2pt0%
+3 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- Next French Presidential Election
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- NH-01 Democratic nominee?
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
- NJ-07 House winner?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Who will win at least one state in the 2028 Republican Party presidential primaries??
- Manifold Markets bewertet J. D. Vance mit 77% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Who will win at least one state in the 2028 Republican Party presidential primaries? entschieden?
- Who will win at least one state in the 2028 Republican Party presidential primaries? soll am 8. August 2028 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Who will win at least one state in the 2028 Republican Party presidential primaries? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: An answer resolves YES if that person wins the most delegates in at least one state during the 2028 Republican Party presidential primaries.