Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertWarnung zur DatenqualitätQuelldaten beeinträchtigt
Daten vom 25.10.2026, 16:50 UTC · Richtlinie pm-quality-4
Aktuelle Community-PrognoseJD Vance 87.9%Führend unter 44 Optionen
Prognostiker
97
Fragetyp
multiple choice
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
7d-Änderung
0.0 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 9 Stunden
Veraltet5. Feb. 25, 04:50 UTC16. Nov. 28, 05:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will Pete Buttigieg run for president of the United States in 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill Bernie Sanders run for President in 2028?
KalshiWho will run for president in 2028?
Kalshi🗣️Who will run for president in the 2028 election? [ADD RESPONSES]
Manifold MarketsWill Gavin Newsom run for President in the 2028 election?
Manifold MarketsWill Gavin Newsom run for President in 2028?
Manifold MarketsRegeln
Each option resolves YES when the respective candidate files a FEC Form 2 seeking the office of President, the formal statement of candidacy.
- (Informal statements by the candidate are irrelevant to resolution.)
- All other options resolve NO once all relevant deadlines have passed.
- Close date is provisional in that this market will likely resolve earlier than it once I identify all relevant deadlines.
