Which will be the first Chinese orbital-class reusable rocket stage to land vertically?

ChinaOne-OffTechnik Space1J

Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriert

Warnung zur DatenqualitätVeraltete Daten

Daten vom 11.07.2026, 16:59 UTC · Richtlinie pm-quality-3

Aktuelle Community-Prognose

Other 95.8%+1.8pt

Führend unter 6 Optionen

Prognostiker

Fragetyp

multiple choice

Methodik

Play-money forecasting platform

Quellentyp

Prognose

Marktdaten

Aktualisiert vor 16 Tagen

Veraltet

29. Nov. 25, 12:3129. Nov. 27, 12:26

Trends

Ergebnis24hWahrscheinlichkeit

Zhuque-3 (LandSpace)

0.3%

Long March 12A (SAST/CASC)

0.3%

Tianlong-3 (Space Pioneer)

0.2%

Kinetica-2/Lijian-2 (CAS Space)

0.2%

Nur virtuelles Guthaben – kein echtes GeldKeine Finanzberatung

Gewähltes Ergebnis

Long March 10A (CALT/CASC)3%

Einsatz (USDT)

Regeln

Resolution criteria

The market resolves YES for the first Chinese orbital-class rocket stage to successfully land vertically.
The landing must be a controlled vertical descent to a surface (land or sea platform), not a parachute recovery or horizontal landing.
The same launch must successfully put a payload into orbit - no 'hops' or failures!
Resolution will be determined by official announcements from the rocket manufacturer or Chinese space authorities confirming successful orbital flight and vertical landing.
While China's progress is impressive, it still lags the United States, particularly SpaceX, which has launched more than 300 times.

Volumentrend

$100

10. Juli2T Daten11. Juli

Verwandte Märkte

Which country will be the next to send humans to the Moon?

54,5 €

China: 41%

KALSHI

Will China land a person on the Moon before the US can return to the Moon?

107,2 €

Ja: 40.5%

MANIFOLD MARKETS

AI bubble burst by which date?

1621,3 €

2026: 18%

POLYMARKET

Who invades first: China (Taiwan) or U.S. (Greenland)?

1145,3 €

China invades Taiwan first: 11.9%

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Will a chatbot from a Chinese company top the LMSYS leaderboard in 2026?

316,5 €

Ja: 84.5%

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Will Apple purchase CXMT memory chips in 2026?

94,1 €

Ja: 57%

POLYMARKET

In diesen Themen aktiv

BitcoinBTC$63,618.52-2.74%

EthereumETH$1,887.23-4.11%

SolanaSOL$73.46-4.25%

DogecoinDOGE$0.0704-3.57%

BNBBNB$565.46-1.65%

XRPXRP$1.06-4.56%

Verwandte Nachrichten

Velo Reveals New Orbit Plus Upgrade to Offer Multi-Wallet SupportBlockchain Reporter

Microsoft Says MDASH Beats Claude Mythos and GPT-5.6 Sol in Cybersecurity TestDecrypt

Nvidia, Microsoft and IBM Launch Open Secure AI Alliance to Strengthen AI CybersecurityDecrypt

Kimi-K3 Scales to 2.8T Parameters on AMD Instinct GPUsBlockchain.News

Circle Buys IBM Blockchain Patent Estate—And Becomes America's Biggest HolderDecrypt

Tesla wins UK 5G patent appeal over $32 feeCrypto News

Regeln

Resolution criteria

The market resolves YES for the first Chinese orbital-class rocket stage to successfully land vertically.
The landing must be a controlled vertical descent to a surface (land or sea platform), not a parachute recovery or horizontal landing.
The same launch must successfully put a payload into orbit - no 'hops' or failures!
Resolution will be determined by official announcements from the rocket manufacturer or Chinese space authorities confirming successful orbital flight and vertical landing.
While China's progress is impressive, it still lags the United States, particularly SpaceX, which has launched more than 300 times.

Which will be the first Chinese orbital-class reusable rocket stage to land vertically?

ChinaOne-OffTechnik Space1J

Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriert

Warnung zur DatenqualitätVeraltete Daten

Daten vom 11.07.2026, 16:59 UTC · Richtlinie pm-quality-3

Aktuelle Community-Prognose

Other 95.8%+1.8pt

Führend unter 6 Optionen

Prognostiker

Fragetyp

multiple choice

Methodik

Play-money forecasting platform

Quellentyp

Prognose

Marktdaten

Aktualisiert vor 16 Tagen

Veraltet

29. Nov. 25, 12:3129. Nov. 27, 12:26

Trends

Ergebnis24hWahrscheinlichkeit

Zhuque-3 (LandSpace)

0.3%

Long March 12A (SAST/CASC)

0.3%

Tianlong-3 (Space Pioneer)

0.2%

Kinetica-2/Lijian-2 (CAS Space)

0.2%

Nur virtuelles Guthaben – kein echtes GeldKeine Finanzberatung

Gewähltes Ergebnis

Long March 10A (CALT/CASC)3%

Einsatz (USDT)

Regeln

Resolution criteria

The market resolves YES for the first Chinese orbital-class rocket stage to successfully land vertically.
The landing must be a controlled vertical descent to a surface (land or sea platform), not a parachute recovery or horizontal landing.
The same launch must successfully put a payload into orbit - no 'hops' or failures!
Resolution will be determined by official announcements from the rocket manufacturer or Chinese space authorities confirming successful orbital flight and vertical landing.
While China's progress is impressive, it still lags the United States, particularly SpaceX, which has launched more than 300 times.

Volumentrend

$100

10. Juli2T Daten11. Juli

Verwandte Märkte

Which country will be the next to send humans to the Moon?

54,5 €

China: 41%

KALSHI

Will China land a person on the Moon before the US can return to the Moon?

107,2 €

Ja: 40.5%

MANIFOLD MARKETS

AI bubble burst by which date?

1621,3 €

2026: 18%

POLYMARKET

Who invades first: China (Taiwan) or U.S. (Greenland)?

1145,3 €

China invades Taiwan first: 11.9%

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Will a chatbot from a Chinese company top the LMSYS leaderboard in 2026?

316,5 €

Ja: 84.5%

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Will Apple purchase CXMT memory chips in 2026?

94,1 €

Ja: 57%

POLYMARKET

In diesen Themen aktiv

BitcoinBTC$63,618.52-2.74%

EthereumETH$1,887.23-4.11%

SolanaSOL$73.46-4.25%

DogecoinDOGE$0.0704-3.57%

BNBBNB$565.46-1.65%

XRPXRP$1.06-4.56%

Verwandte Nachrichten

Velo Reveals New Orbit Plus Upgrade to Offer Multi-Wallet SupportBlockchain Reporter

Microsoft Says MDASH Beats Claude Mythos and GPT-5.6 Sol in Cybersecurity TestDecrypt

Nvidia, Microsoft and IBM Launch Open Secure AI Alliance to Strengthen AI CybersecurityDecrypt

Kimi-K3 Scales to 2.8T Parameters on AMD Instinct GPUsBlockchain.News

Circle Buys IBM Blockchain Patent Estate—And Becomes America's Biggest HolderDecrypt

Tesla wins UK 5G patent appeal over $32 feeCrypto News

Regeln

Resolution criteria

The market resolves YES for the first Chinese orbital-class rocket stage to successfully land vertically.
The landing must be a controlled vertical descent to a surface (land or sea platform), not a parachute recovery or horizontal landing.
The same launch must successfully put a payload into orbit - no 'hops' or failures!
Resolution will be determined by official announcements from the rocket manufacturer or Chinese space authorities confirming successful orbital flight and vertical landing.
While China's progress is impressive, it still lags the United States, particularly SpaceX, which has launched more than 300 times.