Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseOther 32.8%+30.4ptFührend unter 11 Optionen
Prognostiker
4
Fragetyp
multiple choice
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
7d-Änderung
+30.4 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 1 Stunde
Verzogert31. Okt. 26, 09:24 UTC3. Nov. 26, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will Democrats win all 7 ‘swing states’ in the 2028 presidential election?
Manifold MarketsSwing states of the future: Which states will be within 5 points in the 2040 presidential election?
Manifold MarketsLean R Senate Race Combo: which states will Republicans win?
KalshiWhich states will Republicans win a trifecta in 2026?
Kalshi2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
KalshiTexas Senate winner?
KalshiRegeln
This market will resolve according to which of the United States Senate general elections in Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio (special election), and Texas, currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, are won by the Republican candidate, inclusive of any potential runoffs.
- Each listed outcome names the exact set of these states in which the Republican candidate wins.
- An outcome will resolve to "Yes" only if the Republican candidate wins every state it names and does not win any of the other states covered by this market.
- A state counts as not won by the Republican candidate if any other candidate wins it, including a Democratic, independent, or third-party candidate, or if its results cannot be determined by March 31, 2027.
- A candidate will be considered to represent the Republican Party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of the Republican Party.
- Candidates who run as independents will not be considered to represent the Republican Party regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
