Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognosePolymarket 62.6%Führend unter 8 Optionen
Prognostiker
53
Fragetyp
multiple choice
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
7d-Änderung
0.0 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 4 Stunden
Veraltet20. Feb. 25, 00:06 UTC11. Nov. 28, 07:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will Charles Schwab customers have access to a prediction market on the 2028 US presidential election?
Manifold MarketsWhich benchmarket will have the highest volume on MNX in 2026?
Manifold MarketsPresidential Election Winner 2028
PolymarketRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
PolymarketBrazil Presidential Election
Polymarket2028 Democratic presidential nominee
KalshiRegeln
Only trading volume on the final US 2028 presidential election results will count (e.g. Trump v Harris, ie no primary races).
- Any real-money prediction market or betting platform globally counts.
- I will exclude obvious wash trading insofar as I'm able to spot it (not an important factor in the 2024 election, but it might be in the future if these platforms continue to operate without fees).
- I may add more answers to this market if new serious competitors emerge.
Offene Märkte
PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 605,7 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 697.653 €
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.2pt1%
+16 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 603,2 Mio. €
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%
- Gavin Newsom14%
+45 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 183,4 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 471.295,9 €
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.5pt74.3%
- New People (NL)-3.8pt21.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 weitere Ergebnisse
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- South Carolina Senate winner?
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
- NH-01 Democratic nominee?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Highest volume prediction market for 2028 US prez election??
- Manifold Markets bewertet Polymarket mit 63% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Highest volume prediction market for 2028 US prez election? entschieden?
- Highest volume prediction market for 2028 US prez election? soll am 11. November 2028 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Highest volume prediction market for 2028 US prez election? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Only trading volume on the final US 2028 presidential election results will count (e.g. Trump v Harris, ie no primary races).