Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseManifest (June, Berkeley) 100%Führend unter 9 Optionen
Prognostiker
11
Fragetyp
multiple choice
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
7d-Änderung
0.0 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 12 Stunden
Veraltet1. Mai 26, 11:17 UTC31. Dez. 26, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
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PolymarketRegeln
Each option resolves 50% if I attend or YES if I speak.
- Context dump:
- I am Eli Goldfine/@realTomBayes on X
- I already have Manifest tickets
- I am based in NYC
- Predict2026 has offered to cover my travel expenses if I agree to moderate a panel, others are in the works
