Which party will win the 2026 U.S. House election in Oklahoma's 4th District?
1.0 Pkt. (24h)PolitikOne-OffUS-PolitikWahlUS-Zwischenwahlen 202613T
Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseRepublican Party — Tom Cole 96%-1.0ptFührend unter 3 Optionen
Prognostiker
1
Fragetyp
multiple choice
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
7d-Änderung
-1.4 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 12 Stunden
Veraltet6. Okt. 26, 06:13 UTC4. Nov. 26, 12:00 UTC
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Manifold MarketsWill Tom Cole win the Oklahoma 4th District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?
ForecastExWill Jena Nelson win the Oklahoma 5th District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?
ForecastExRegeln
This market resolves to the party of the winner of the 2026 election for U.S. Representative for Oklahoma's 4th congressional district — the term beginning January 3, 2027.
- Which round counts: the November 3, 2026 general election (plurality winner).
- Primaries do not count.
- Party rule: the winner's party is the party on whose line or with whose party designation they appear on the official general-election ballot.
- A candidate nominated by Democratic Party or Republican Party who also appears on other parties' lines (fusion) counts as that party's candidate.
- Candidates who are independent, have no party preference, or belong to any other party resolve to "the named outcome", even if they say they would caucus with a major party.
