Aktuelle Community-Prognose
Anthropic 30.6%+5.6ptFührend unter 4 Optionen
Prognostiker
1
Fragetyp
multiple choice
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
7d-Änderung
+5.6 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 7 Stunden
Veraltet31. Okt. 26, 14:58 UTC30. Nov. 26, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Which lab will have the #1 model on Epoch AI's Capabilities Index (ECI) on November 6, 2026?
Manifold MarketsTop AI Model 2026 (Epoch Capabilities Index, ECI)
Manifold MarketsWhat will be the highest Epoch Capabilities Index score in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWhen will AI score above 170 on Epoch Capabilities Index?
KalshiWhat will the top score on Epoch AI's FrontierMath: Erdős (68 open Erdős problems) be on November 7, 2026?
Manifold MarketsRegeln
Which organization's model will have the highest Epoch Capabilities Index (ECI) score on Epoch AI's ECI page on November 30, 2026?
- Resolution source: Epoch AI's ECI page (https://epoch.ai/eci) and the ECI scores file inside Epoch's downloadable benchmark data (https://epoch.ai/data/benchmark_data.zip, file epoch_capabilities_index/eci_scores.csv, column eci).
- I will check both on December 1, 2026 (UTC), using the data as published for November 30.
- If they disagree, the CSV wins.
- How it resolves: to the organization (the CSV's Organization column) of the single model with the highest ECI score.
- Any model counts — open or closed, any version — as long as Epoch lists it.