Which company will have the top model on OpenRouter in December 2026?
Tokenization / RWAOne-OffKITechnik3MonManifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseDeepSeek 15.1%Führend unter 12 Optionen
Prognostiker
4
Fragetyp
multiple choice
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
7d-Änderung
0.0 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 9 Stunden
Veraltet24. Juni 26, 16:50 UTC31. Dez. 26, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Which company's model will be #1 on Artificial Analysis at the end of September 2026
Manifold MarketsOpenAI issues crypto asset for financing before 2031?
Manifold MarketsWill blockchain technology be used for storing at least 10% of global GDP by 2027?
Manifold MarketsWhat chain will the NYSE choose for tokenized securities?
PolymarketWill the US Treasury have any transactions on the blockchain?
KalshiWill RWAs hit $50B by which date?
PolymarketRegeln
This market resolves to the company that authored the single most-used model on OpenRouter during December 2026, measured by token volume and computed from OpenRouter's official rankings dataset.
- Determination.
- Using OpenRouter's daily rankings dataset (GET /api/v1/datasets/rankings-daily), the determining query is start_date=2026-12-01 and end_date=2026-12-31 (UTC, inclusive).
- For each model (model_permaslug), total_tokens (= prompt_tokens + completion_tokens) is summed across all returned days in that window.
- The model with the highest December total is the "#1 model," and the market resolves to that model's author company.
- Tokens are not summed across a company's models — only the single highest-total model determines the outcome.
Offene Märkte
Tokenization / RWAPOLYMARKETWill RWAs hit $50B by which date?
- December 31, 2026+2.0pt50%
- December 31-0.1pt0%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 8999,9 €
- 24h-Volumen
- —
MANIFOLD MARKETSOpenAI issues crypto asset for financing before 2031?
- No69%
- Yes31%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 153,2 €
- 24h-Volumen
- —
MANIFOLD MARKETSWill any tokenized basket or index investment product exceed $1 billion in AUM by the end of 2027?
- No53.5%
- Yes46.5%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 148 €
- 24h-Volumen
- —
MANIFOLD MARKETSWill the US treasury "be put on the blockchain" by the end of 2026?
- No95.1%
- Yes4.9%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 951,7 €
- 24h-Volumen
- —
MANIFOLD MARKETSWill Ethereum have easily tradeable tokenized NYSE stocks by end of 2030?
- Yes75.6%
- No24.4%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 202,8 €
- 24h-Volumen
- —
KALSHIHow high will Tokenized Treasuries climb this year?
- Above 30 Billion49%
- Above 40 Billion39%
- Above 35 Billion35%
+4 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 1146 €
- 24h-Volumen
- —
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Which company will have the top model on OpenRouter in December 2026??
- Manifold Markets bewertet DeepSeek mit 15% (Stand: 17. September 2026).
- Wann wird Which company will have the top model on OpenRouter in December 2026? entschieden?
- Which company will have the top model on OpenRouter in December 2026? soll am 31. Dezember 2026 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Which company will have the top model on OpenRouter in December 2026? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: This market resolves to the company that authored the single most-used model on OpenRouter during December 2026, measured by token volume and computed from OpenRouter's official rankings dataset.