Aktuelle Community-Prognose
By end of June 2027 95.4%Führend unter 17 Optionen
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Aktualisiert vor 4 Minuten
11. März 24, 08:10 UTC1. Jan. 27, 12:59 UTC
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Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
When will Starship first deploy a commercial* satellite to orbit?
Manifold MarketsWill SpaceX attempt to deploy Starlink satellites in the first fully-orbital Starship–SuperHeavy flight?
Manifold MarketsBy when will Starship deploy a payload bigger than a Starlink?
Manifold MarketsStarlink active subscribers in Q3
KalshiSpaceX to spin off Starlink in 2026?
FutuurAST SpaceMobile BlueBird satellites in orbit above __ in Q4 2026?
LimitlessRegeln
Answers resolve YES once SpaceX confirms that a Starlink satellite (that had been launched on a Starship) has been successfully deployed to orbit
- Otherwise, answers will resolve NO as their dates are reached (or may resolve NO early if sufficiently certain)
- Resolves based on the time of deployment, not the time of launch
- Any type of Starlink satellite counts as long as Starlink is in the name (eg Starshield would not count despite being a close derivative)
- Additionally, the Starlink satellite must be technically capable of functioning (i.e. starlink mass simulators or dummy starlinks wouldn't count), though whether the satellite actually functions successfully or not once in orbit is irrelevant
- Related markets:
Offene Märkte
TechKALSHIBTC price on Sep 8, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $76,750 or above99%
- $76,500 or above99%
- $76,250 or above99%
+77 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 1,3 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 1,3 Mio. €
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 8, 2026 at 2pm EDT?
- $78,400 or above99%
- $78,300 or above99%
- $78,200 or above99%
+97 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 1,1 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 802.561,8 €
KALSHIBTC 15 min · $78,547.84 target
- Yes60%
- No40%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 736.478,1 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 585.562,7 €
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $72,500 or above+2.0pt99%
- $72,000 or above+3.0pt99%
- $69,500 or above+1.0pt98%
+47 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 4 - September 11, 2026?
- 180-199+10.0pt31.4%
- 200-219+8.0pt22.9%
- 160-179-4.0pt19.1%
+23 weitere Ergebnisse
KALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 8, 2026?
- 88° to 89°+9.0pt37%
- 90° or above+11.0pt28%
- 86° to 87°-12.0pt25%
+3 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
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- Elon Musk # tweets September 7 - September 9, 2026?
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- When will Apple release the iPhone 18?
- Highest temperature in Miami on Sep 8, 2026?
- Which company has the best AI model end of September?
- Best AI at the end of 2026?
- ETH price on Sep 8, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- ETH price on Sep 8, 2026 at 2pm EDT?
- When will Apple Inc. release the iPhone 18 Pro?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für When will Starship first deploy a Starlink satellite to orbit??
- Manifold Markets bewertet By end of June 2027 mit 95% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird When will Starship first deploy a Starlink satellite to orbit? entschieden?
- When will Starship first deploy a Starlink satellite to orbit? soll am 1. Januar 2027 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird When will Starship first deploy a Starlink satellite to orbit? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Answers resolve YES once SpaceX confirms that a Starlink satellite (that had been launched on a Starship) has been successfully deployed to orbit