Aktuelle Community-Prognose
2027 30.2%Führend unter 10 Optionen
Prognostiker
48
Fragetyp
multiple choice
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
7d-Änderung
0.0 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 2 Stunden
Veraltet28. Nov. 23, 18:29 UTC1. Jan. 31, 07:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will Magnus Carlsen play a classical game against Hans Niemann before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill Magnus Carlsen be dethroned from his #1 spot in FIDE rating before GTA 6 is released?
Manifold MarketsWill Magnus Carlsen be the highest FIDE rating chess player at the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsHikaru Nakamura and Magnus Carlsen play world-championship-style classical match before 2030
Manifold MarketsFIDE Standard Top Women Chess Players: Top 5 Rated in December 2026
KalshiFIDE Standard Top Women Chess Players: Top 10 Rated in December 2026
KalshiRegeln
They have to surpass Magnus on the list for at least 30 days.
- http://ratings.fide.com/
- Update June 30 2026: this is the proper link now: https://ratings.fide.com/top_lists.phtml?list=open for tracking this market - the open rating.
- If Magnus is not in the list then he is surpassed, as long as the list still exists.
- The list appears to be updated very frequently.
- No end date.