Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseShooter captured alive before Oct. 1st 100%Führend unter 62 Optionen
Prognostiker
252
Fragetyp
multiple choice
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
7d-Änderung
0.0 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 5 Minuten
11. Sept. 25, 19:17 UTC11. Sept. 26, 19:13 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Another politically motivated* assassination of a notable* English-speaking influencer within a year of Charlie Kirk's?
Manifold MarketsWhich method(s) will the police use to find Charlie Kirk's shooter?
Manifold MarketsWhat is true about Erika Kirk (Charlie Kirk’s widow) after the funeral ceremony.
Manifold MarketsWill Israel election happen as scheduled?
PolymarketWill the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?
PolymarketWhich of these cryptocurrencies will have a positive return in 2026?
KalshiRegeln
Feel free to add your own, but egregiously irrelevant answers will be N/Aed.
- Try to keep it to things that can be connected to this event! I'll avoid betting in this market on anything where there could be ambiguity.
- Update 2025-09-11 (PST) (Creator summary of creator comment): - For the answer "Another political assassination (either side)": There must be some proven link - inspiration, direct influence, etc - between the Kirk assassination and anything that would give this a YES resolution.
- Update 2025-09-16 (PST) (Creator summary of creator comment): - For the answer "Any left-wing group is legally designated as a 'terrorist organization'": A state or local designation doesn't count for this - it has to be federal (even if it's unconstitutional or otherwise goes through the improper channels, such as an executive order).
Offene Märkte
ChainlinkKALSHIWhich of these cryptocurrencies will have a positive return in 2026?
- Chainlink (LINK)-2.0pt42%
- Ethereum (ETH)-4.0pt37%
- Bitcoin (BTC)-3.0pt34%
+7 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 594.171,4 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 2509,7 €
POLYMARKETWhat price will Chainlink hit in 2026?
- ↑ 14+8.4pt100%
- ↓ 12+22.4pt100%
- ↓ 10+32.5pt100%
+12 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETWhat price will Chainlink hit in September?
- ↑ 12+48.0pt100%
- ↓ 12+50.0pt100%
- ↓ 10+0.5pt52%
+9 weitere Ergebnisse
MANIFOLD MARKETSExit valuation of Haven (YC S23)?
- Less than $10M or bankrupt64.7%
- $10M - $100M12.6%
- $100M - $1B12.6%
+1 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 43 €
- 24h-Volumen
MANIFOLD MARKETSWill the Fehmarn Belt fixed link between Denmark and Germany be completed by 2030?
- No86%
- Yes14%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 271,1 €
- 24h-Volumen
- —
MANIFOLD MARKETSExit valuation of Chatter (YC S23)?
- $10M - $100M45.4%
- Less than $10M or bankrupt44.5%
- $100M - $1B6.8%
+1 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 101,2 €
- 24h-Volumen
- Of the top 18 jobs in the US in the year 2022, which one will be first to lose at least 1/2 of its workers?
- In what year will humans have more sex with robots than with other humans
- Will Link speak in the Zelda movie?
- Who DOSsed Finnish Defence Ministry web pages? (suggest answers, may take time to resolve)
- Days without sunspots in 2026.
- 🌐Which social platforms will reach 500M or more users by the end of 2030? [ADD RESPONSES]
- Who is the unidentified person on the cover of Sgt. Pepper's Lonely Hearts Club Band?
- Messi vs Ronaldo: who's gonna have more career goals? 🥅
- Manifold Meta-Futarchy 2026
- When will consumer AI be able to read me a book
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für What will happen as a result of the Charlie Kirk assassination??
- Manifold Markets bewertet Shooter captured alive before Oct. 1st mit 100% (Stand: 9. September 2026).
- Wann wird What will happen as a result of the Charlie Kirk assassination? entschieden?
- What will happen as a result of the Charlie Kirk assassination? soll am 11. September 2026 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird What will happen as a result of the Charlie Kirk assassination? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Feel free to add your own, but egregiously irrelevant answers will be N/Aed.