What will be the Total Domestic Gross of 'Project Hail Mary' (2026)?

Inflation5Mon

Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriert

Warnung zur DatenqualitätVeraltete Daten

Daten vom 12.07.2026, 07:29 UTC · Richtlinie pm-quality-2

Aktuelle Community-Prognose

Less than $200M (Implies a collapse in week 2) 0.2%-0.1%

Führend unter 6 Optionen

Prognostiker

Fragetyp

multiple choice

Methodik

Play-money forecasting platform

Quellentyp

Prognose

Marktdaten

Aktualisiert vor 13 Tagen

Veraltet

22. März 26, 20:1731. Dez. 26, 23:59

Trends

Ergebnis24hWahrscheinlichkeit

Less than $200M (Implies a collapse in week 2)

0.2%

$200M – $249.9M (Moderate legs, ~3x multiplier)

0.1%

$250M – $299.9M (Strong performance, ~3.4x multiplier)

0.2%

$350M – $399.9M (High-end breakout)

0.3%

$400M or more (Mega-blockbuster status)

0.2%

Nur virtuelles Guthaben – kein echtes GeldKeine Finanzberatung

Gewähltes Ergebnis

$300M – $349.9M (Likely outcome as of 3/21, if it matches The Martian)99%

Einsatz (USDT)

Regeln

This market tracks the final Domestic (North American) Cumulative Gross

After a massive $80.6 million opening weekend—the biggest non-franchise opening since Oppenheimer—the film is poised for a significant run.
Traders should consider the film's "legs" (longevity), its 95% Rotten Tomatoes score, and upcoming competition from The Super Mario Galaxy Movie on April 1.
Resolution Criteria
Primary Source: This market will resolve based on the "Domestic Total" figure reported by https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl1993768961/?ref_=bo_di_table_1
Resolution Date: The market will resolve once Box Office Mojo lists the film as "Closed" or after 20 weeks of release (August 7, 2026), whichever comes first.

Volumentrend

$1.5k

11. Juli2T Daten12. Juli

Verwandte Märkte

Fed Decision in July?

1,6 Mio. €

No change: 79%

POLYMARKET

Fed rate hike in 2026?

51.208,9 €

Ja: 72%

POLYMARKET

Inflation in July 2026 (CPI YoY)

9283,8 €

Above 3.4%: 29%

KALSHI

Fed rate hike by which date?

CPI in July

Are Republicans or Democrats better for the economy? [Annual GDP growth by presidential party]

3383,4 €

Republican president, <2%: 23.2%

MANIFOLD MARKETS

In diesen Themen aktiv

BitcoinBTC$64,368.05+0.59%

EthereumETH$1,881.85+1.42%

SolanaSOL$74.92+1.43%

BNBBNB$571.21+1.19%

DogecoinDOGE$0.073+5.23%

XRPXRP$1.10+0.97%

Verwandte Nachrichten

CPI Data Still Moves Bitcoin and Altcoins as Forex Brokers Spotlight Macro Cross-CurrentsBlockchain Reporter

Polymarket sees 84% odds of zero Fed cuts in 2026 after risk-off swingBlockchain.News

Bitcoin slides below $65K as Iran conflict fuels $100 oil and bond-yield surgeCointelegraph

Peter Schiff warns $100 oil could unleash a July inflation shockCrypto News

Polymarket puts Sept Fed hike at 50.5% on $4M volume amid oil, yieldsBlockchain.News

Polymarket odds favor 0 Fed cuts in 2026 at 84.65% on $44.6M volumeBlockchain.News

Regeln

This market tracks the final Domestic (North American) Cumulative Gross

After a massive $80.6 million opening weekend—the biggest non-franchise opening since Oppenheimer—the film is poised for a significant run.
Traders should consider the film's "legs" (longevity), its 95% Rotten Tomatoes score, and upcoming competition from The Super Mario Galaxy Movie on April 1.
Resolution Criteria
Primary Source: This market will resolve based on the "Domestic Total" figure reported by https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl1993768961/?ref_=bo_di_table_1
Resolution Date: The market will resolve once Box Office Mojo lists the film as "Closed" or after 20 weeks of release (August 7, 2026), whichever comes first.

What will be the Total Domestic Gross of 'Project Hail Mary' (2026)?

Inflation5Mon

Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriert

Warnung zur DatenqualitätVeraltete Daten

Daten vom 12.07.2026, 07:29 UTC · Richtlinie pm-quality-2

Aktuelle Community-Prognose

Less than $200M (Implies a collapse in week 2) 0.2%-0.1%

Führend unter 6 Optionen

Prognostiker

Fragetyp

multiple choice

Methodik

Play-money forecasting platform

Quellentyp

Prognose

Marktdaten

Aktualisiert vor 13 Tagen

Veraltet

22. März 26, 20:1731. Dez. 26, 23:59

Trends

Ergebnis24hWahrscheinlichkeit

Less than $200M (Implies a collapse in week 2)

0.2%

$200M – $249.9M (Moderate legs, ~3x multiplier)

0.1%

$250M – $299.9M (Strong performance, ~3.4x multiplier)

0.2%

$350M – $399.9M (High-end breakout)

0.3%

$400M or more (Mega-blockbuster status)

0.2%

Nur virtuelles Guthaben – kein echtes GeldKeine Finanzberatung

Gewähltes Ergebnis

$300M – $349.9M (Likely outcome as of 3/21, if it matches The Martian)99%

Einsatz (USDT)

Regeln

This market tracks the final Domestic (North American) Cumulative Gross

After a massive $80.6 million opening weekend—the biggest non-franchise opening since Oppenheimer—the film is poised for a significant run.
Traders should consider the film's "legs" (longevity), its 95% Rotten Tomatoes score, and upcoming competition from The Super Mario Galaxy Movie on April 1.
Resolution Criteria
Primary Source: This market will resolve based on the "Domestic Total" figure reported by https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl1993768961/?ref_=bo_di_table_1
Resolution Date: The market will resolve once Box Office Mojo lists the film as "Closed" or after 20 weeks of release (August 7, 2026), whichever comes first.

Volumentrend

$1.5k

11. Juli2T Daten12. Juli

Verwandte Märkte

Fed Decision in July?

1,6 Mio. €

No change: 79%

POLYMARKET

Fed rate hike in 2026?

51.208,9 €

Ja: 72%

POLYMARKET

Inflation in July 2026 (CPI YoY)

9283,8 €

Above 3.4%: 29%

KALSHI

Fed rate hike by which date?

CPI in July

Are Republicans or Democrats better for the economy? [Annual GDP growth by presidential party]

3383,4 €

Republican president, <2%: 23.2%

MANIFOLD MARKETS

In diesen Themen aktiv

BitcoinBTC$64,368.05+0.59%

EthereumETH$1,881.85+1.42%

SolanaSOL$74.92+1.43%

BNBBNB$571.21+1.19%

DogecoinDOGE$0.073+5.23%

XRPXRP$1.10+0.97%

Verwandte Nachrichten

CPI Data Still Moves Bitcoin and Altcoins as Forex Brokers Spotlight Macro Cross-CurrentsBlockchain Reporter

Polymarket sees 84% odds of zero Fed cuts in 2026 after risk-off swingBlockchain.News

Bitcoin slides below $65K as Iran conflict fuels $100 oil and bond-yield surgeCointelegraph

Peter Schiff warns $100 oil could unleash a July inflation shockCrypto News

Polymarket puts Sept Fed hike at 50.5% on $4M volume amid oil, yieldsBlockchain.News

Polymarket odds favor 0 Fed cuts in 2026 at 84.65% on $44.6M volumeBlockchain.News

Regeln

This market tracks the final Domestic (North American) Cumulative Gross

After a massive $80.6 million opening weekend—the biggest non-franchise opening since Oppenheimer—the film is poised for a significant run.
Traders should consider the film's "legs" (longevity), its 95% Rotten Tomatoes score, and upcoming competition from The Super Mario Galaxy Movie on April 1.
Resolution Criteria
Primary Source: This market will resolve based on the "Domestic Total" figure reported by https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl1993768961/?ref_=bo_di_table_1
Resolution Date: The market will resolve once Box Office Mojo lists the film as "Closed" or after 20 weeks of release (August 7, 2026), whichever comes first.