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  1. Prognosemärkte
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  3. What will be the best FrontierMath Tier 4 score by Dec 31, 2026?
Manifold Markets

What will be the best FrontierMath Tier 4 score by Dec 31, 2026?

KI6Mon
Manifold MarketsManifold MarketsKein KYC
Aktuelle Community-Prognose
Manifold Markets
<30% 0.5%
Führend unter 8 Optionen
Prognostiker

38

Fragetyp

multiple choice

Methodik

Play-money forecasting platform

Quellentyp

Prognose

Marktdaten

Aktualisiert vor 1 Minute

16. Jan. 26, 20:491. Jan. 27, 4:59

Trends

Ergebnis24hWahrscheinlichkeit
Manifold Markets
<30%
0.5%

Gewähltes Ergebnis

50-60%1%

Regeln

This market matches Mathematics: FrontierMath Tier 4 from the AI 2026 Forecasting Survey by AI Digest.

Manifold Markets
  • See other manifold questions here
  • [image]Resolution criteria
  • Resolves to the highest reported accuracy on FrontierMath Tier 4 as of December 31, 2026.
  • If Epoch AI releases an updated version of FrontierMath T4 with comparable difficulty, this question will be resolved based on the updated task suite.
  • Which AI systems count?

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Manifold Markets

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In diesen Themen aktiv

BitcoinBTC$63,503.63-0.21%EthereumETH$1,663.83-1.02%SolanaSOL$66.65-0.61%DogecoinDOGE$0.0865-0.11%BNBBNB$602.92-0.28%XRPXRP$1.13-1.27%

Verwandte Nachrichten

Anthropic launches Claude Fable 5 with new safeguardsCrypto NewsEU orders Meta to restore WhatsApp access for rival AI chatbotsCrypto NewsJPMorgan plans longer-running AI agents for corporate workflows Crypto NewsOpenAI Files for IPO, Targets Valuation Up to $850BBlockchain.NewsOpenAI confidentially files to go public in the USCointelegraphNvidia expands South Korean AI partnerships across chips, cloud, and robotics Crypto News

Regeln

This market matches Mathematics: FrontierMath Tier 4 from the AI 2026 Forecasting Survey by AI Digest.

Manifold Markets
  • See other manifold questions here
  • [image]Resolution criteria
  • Resolves to the highest reported accuracy on FrontierMath Tier 4 as of December 31, 2026.
  • If Epoch AI releases an updated version of FrontierMath T4 with comparable difficulty, this question will be resolved based on the updated task suite.
  • Which AI systems count?