Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 75.3%
Prognostiker
2
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 49 Minuten
Verzogert22. Sept. 26, 13:50 UTC31. Dez. 27, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will someone reach 1B mana profit on Manifold before EOY 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill AI find an infinite mana exploit in Manifold by EOY 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill MNX be integrated into Manifold by EOY?
Manifold MarketsWill another unofficial mana financial service/product ran by users be shut down by Manifold by EOY 2026?
Manifold MarketsBTC price on Oct 25, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
KalshiBTC price on Oct 30, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
KalshiRegeln
We get probability distribution market on Manifold by EOY27
- Not the same as numerical markets.
- At minimum, requires traders to be able to purchase on at least 3 parameters.
- Possible examples include skew normal distributions, or multiple distinct numerical ranges (eg. 0%-1% and 99%-100%)
- Distribution market
- Dave White (@_Dave__White_) on X
