Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNone 65%Führend unter 6 Optionen
Prognostiker
13
Fragetyp
multiple choice
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
7d-Änderung
0.0 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 1 Stunde
Verzogert25. Okt. 25, 11:47 UTC31. Dez. 29, 22:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Trump attempts to use AGI to stay in power after his second term?
Manifold MarketsWill the U.S. enter a recession in Trump's second term?
Manifold MarketsWill Donald Trump be ranked as the worst US President by the end of his second term according to CSPAN's Survey?
Manifold MarketsWill Trump go on SNL during his second term?
KalshiTrump To Serve Second Term In Full
SmarketsHow many executive orders will Trump sign in his second term?
KalshiRegeln
Which role or mechanism will Trump use after his Second Term to continue exerting significant influence over U.S. executive decisions?
- President: Trump serves a third term as President, maintaining full constitutional authority.
- the named outcome: Trump holds a high-level position formally coordinating or overseeing the cabinet.
- In this scenario, the actual President (for example Vance) would delegate day-to-day executive management to Trump.
- The role would be comparable to a Chancellor or Prime Minister, giving him direct influence over cabinet-level decisions.
- the named outcome: Trump would hold a cabinet-level position (e.g., Secretary of State, Secretary of Defense), formally under the President.
Offene Märkte
Politics
POLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 weitere Ergebnisse
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- 605,7 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 697.653 €
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.2pt1%
+16 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 603,2 Mio. €
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%
- Gavin Newsom14%
+45 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 183,4 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 471.295,9 €
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.5pt74.3%
- New People (NL)-3.8pt21.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 weitere Ergebnisse
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- South Carolina Senate winner?
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
- NH-01 Democratic nominee?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Trumps Power After His Second Term??
- Manifold Markets bewertet None mit 65% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Trumps Power After His Second Term? entschieden?
- Trumps Power After His Second Term? soll am 31. Dezember 2029 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Trumps Power After His Second Term? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Which role or mechanism will Trump use after his Second Term to continue exerting significant influence over U.S. executive decisions?