Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-Prognose
Nein 93.1%
Nein 93.1%Prognostiker
23
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 11 Stunden
Veraltet11. Jan. 24, 13:13 UTC31. Dez. 29, 22:16 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will Nilered publish a video about turning Lead into Gold by the end of 2035?
Manifold MarketsChina to announce cap on lead output by EOY 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill AI technology lead to higher or lower US inflation rates by end of June 2027
Manifold MarketsHow many lead service lines will Michigan replace in 2026?
KalshiMlbtotal 26 SEP 29 Cwshou
Robinhood (Rothera)What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in September 2026?
PolymarketRegeln
Must take radioactively stable lead and transmute to radioactively stable gold.
- Must transform at least 1kg of lead in total
- Conversion efficiency at least 90%