Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseKevin Hern 75.4%Führend unter 5 Optionen
Prognostiker
7
Fragetyp
multiple choice
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
7d-Änderung
0.0 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 14 Stunden
Veraltet6. März 26, 06:08 UTC3. Jan. 27, 07:05 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will Markwayne Mullin win the Oklahoma general election for US Senate in 2026?
ForecastExIf confirmed, will Markwayne Mullin be DHS Secretary until 19 Jan 2029?
Manifold MarketsWhat will Markwayne Mullin say during Fox News: Saturday in America?
KalshiWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
PolymarketNext French Presidential Election
Polymarket2028 Democratic presidential nominee
KalshiRegeln
Resolution Criteria
- The market resolves based on who Who wins the seat in the 2026 Election? not the temporary seat filler.
- President Trump announced on March 5, 2026, that Senator Markwayne Mullin would become the United States Secretary of Homeland Security.
- The appointee must be a registered Oklahoma voter in the Republican party for at least five years and is barred from running for the office in the next special or general election.
- Candidate filing for federal offices is open April 1-3 in Oklahoma.
- Rep. the named outcome is expected to launch a bid for Senate, and Rep. the named outcome is also considering a run for Senate.
Offene Märkte
PoliticsPOLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+6.0pt82.2%
- New People (NL)-3.1pt16.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.6pt1%
+5 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 30,1 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 2,5 Mio. €
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff-1.0pt16%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%
- Gavin Newsom13%
+45 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 192,5 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 932.136,5 €
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+2.0pt38.4%
- Édouard Philippe25.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon13.1%
+38 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
KALSHI2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- Democrats sweep57.8%
- D-House, R-Senate-1.0pt29.4%
- Republicans sweep11.8%
+1 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 13,7 Mio. €
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Flávio Bolsonaro+2.2pt56.4%
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-2.0pt42.6%
- Renan Santos-0.1pt1%
+16 weitere Ergebnisse
KALSHI2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner?
- J.D. Vance+1.0pt23%
- Jon Ossoff12%
- Marco Rubio11%
+27 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 58,9 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- Presidential Election Winner 2028
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- TX-15 House winner?
- Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
- Kansas Senate winner?
- Los Angeles Mayor winner?
- Texas Senate winner?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für The Oklahoma Scramble: Who will replace Markwayne Mullin??
- Manifold Markets bewertet Kevin Hern mit 75% (Stand: 18. September 2026).
- Wann wird The Oklahoma Scramble: Who will replace Markwayne Mullin? entschieden?
- The Oklahoma Scramble: Who will replace Markwayne Mullin? soll am 3. Januar 2027 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird The Oklahoma Scramble: Who will replace Markwayne Mullin? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Resolution Criteria