Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseJa 71.8%
Prognostiker
22
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 10 Stunden
Veraltet26. Aug. 25, 23:42 UTC1. Jan. 29, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
US fertility rate in 2030 >= 1.7 if (and only if) Taylor Swift announces a pregnancy by 2029?
Manifold MarketsTaylor Swift and Travis Kelce still together on December 31, 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill Taylor Swift win the 2028 presidential election?
Manifold MarketsTaylor Swift: Highest daily view count (September 7, 2026 - September 13, 2026)
KalshiTaylor Swift: Total weeks at #1 on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026
KalshiWill Taylor Swift (Taylor's Version) be announced this year?
KalshiRegeln
Having a child counts, as does announcing a miscarriage.
- Leaks and rumors don't count, but it's still an announcement even if it's not a surprise.
- Update 2026-01-15 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Announcing a pregnancy via surrogacy does NOT count for resolution.
Offene Märkte
Entertainment
POLYMARKET"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by September 30?
- 950 - 960m+8.5pt76.5%
- 940 - 950m-11.0pt18.6%
- 960 - 970m-0.1pt2%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 342.752,4 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 91.191,2 €
KALSHIPrimetime · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 5099%
- Above 5599%
- Above 60+2.0pt99%
+10 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 182.400 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 90.788,6 €
POLYMARKETNext James Bond actor?
- Jack Lowden+25.1pt47.2%
- No Bond chosen-3.1pt18.9%
- Jack Barton-1.4pt10.4%
+21 weitere Ergebnisse
KALSHINext James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond
- Jack Lowden+8.0pt46%
- Jack Barton-4.0pt21%
- Callum Turner-6.0pt18%
+27 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 1,8 Mio. €
KALSHIRunner · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 45+15.0pt99%
- Above 50+39.0pt97%
- Above 55+42.0pt84%
+7 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 264.563,9 €
KALSHIPractical Magic 2 · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 45-53.0pt14%
- Above 50-56.0pt8%
- Above 55-48.0pt2%
+14 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 84.327,3 €
- Big Brother Season 28 · Winner
- Oscar Winner: Best Picture
- Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?
- # of views of next MrBeast video on week 1?
- Grand Theft Auto VI: Release date
- Oscar nominees: Best Picture
- Emmy Winner: Outstanding Comedy Series
- Taylor Swift: Highest daily view count (September 7, 2026 - September 13, 2026)
- Emmy Winner: Outstanding Limited or Anthology Series
- Steam: Weekly Top Seller
- Oscar Winner: Best Actor
- #2 US Spotify Song 2026
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Taylor Swift announces pregnancy before 2029??
- Manifold Markets bewertet Yes mit 72% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Taylor Swift announces pregnancy before 2029? entschieden?
- Taylor Swift announces pregnancy before 2029? soll am 1. Januar 2029 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Taylor Swift announces pregnancy before 2029? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Having a child counts, as does announcing a miscarriage.