Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseJa 71.8%
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Verzogert26. Aug. 25, 23:42 UTC1. Jan. 29, 23:59 UTC
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US fertility rate in 2030 >= 1.7 if (and only if) Taylor Swift announces a pregnancy by 2029?
Manifold MarketsTaylor Swift and Travis Kelce still together on December 31, 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill Taylor Swift endorse the Democratic candidate again in 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill Taylor Swift win the 2028 presidential election?
Manifold MarketsTaylor Swift: Highest daily view count (October 26, 2026 - November 1, 2026)
KalshiTaylor Swift daily view count hits ___ in October?
PolymarketRegeln
Having a child counts, as does announcing a miscarriage.
- Leaks and rumors don't count, but it's still an announcement even if it's not a surprise.
- Update 2026-01-15 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Announcing a pregnancy via surrogacy does NOT count for resolution.