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  1. Prognosemärkte
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  3. Starmer vs Burnham decision market - will Labour win a majority in the next general election?
Manifold Markets

Starmer vs Burnham decision market - will Labour win a majority in the next general election?

PolitikOne-OffUS PoliticsWahlEurope3J
Manifold MarketsManifold MarketsKein KYC
Aktuelle Community-Prognose
Manifold Markets
**Assuming Starmer is Labour leader**, Labour wins a majority 6%
Prognostiker

7

Fragetyp

multiple choice

Methodik

Play-money forecasting platform

Quellentyp

Prognose

Marktdaten

Aktualisiert vor 4 Minuten

20. Juni 26, 10:5531. Dez. 29, 23:59

Trends

Ergebnis24hWahrscheinlichkeit
Nur virtuelles Guthaben – kein echtes GeldKeine Finanzberatung

Gewähltes Ergebnis

**Assuming Starmer is Labour leader**, Labour wins a majority6%

Regeln

Labour may or may not be about to replace Keir Starmer with Andy Burnham.

Manifold Markets
  • The major reason they're considering this because they hope it'll improve their chances in the next election.
  • This is a "Decision Market", in which you can bet on labour to win in either case - in principle, this could help Labour make that big decision!
  • Here's how it works.
  • Suppose for a moment that Burnham becomes labour leader.
  • Then there will be refunds for everyone who bet Assuming Starmer is Labour leader - whether they bet labour wins or they bet labour loses.

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In diesen Themen aktiv

BitcoinBTC$63,944.98+1.45%EthereumETH$1,729.43+1.64%SolanaSOL$71.87+4.21%DogecoinDOGE$0.0834+0.55%XRPXRP$1.14+1.15%BNBBNB$586.23+1.22%

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Regeln

Labour may or may not be about to replace Keir Starmer with Andy Burnham.

Manifold Markets
  • The major reason they're considering this because they hope it'll improve their chances in the next election.
  • This is a "Decision Market", in which you can bet on labour to win in either case - in principle, this could help Labour make that big decision!
  • Here's how it works.
  • Suppose for a moment that Burnham becomes labour leader.
  • Then there will be refunds for everyone who bet Assuming Starmer is Labour leader - whether they bet labour wins or they bet labour loses.